Stock Market trading
 & Options Trading Coach teaches you
about risk to reward
ratio.

Risk and reward in the
stock market. Identify
risk relative to reward.

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Risk to Reward Ratio

Would you risk $1.00 to make .25 cents?  How about .50 cents?  or $1.00?  You should be saying, "No."
You're going to try to at least double what you're willing to risk.

YOU WILL NEED A TRADING COACH TO SORT IT ALL OUT!

call 772-228-8022 or email or Enroll Now

Why be disciplined about taking small losses?

Lose 20% --- you have to make 25% to get back to even.
Lose 30% --- you have to make 43% to get back to even.
Lose 40% --- you have to make 67% to get back to even.
  Lose 50% --- you have to make 100% to get back to even.
 Lose 60% --- you have to make 150% to get back to even
  Lose 70% --- you have to make 233% to get back to even.
  Lose 80% --- you have to make 400% to get back to even.

Well that sucks, doesn't it?  But you get the idea.

SAMPLE RISK/REWARD ANALYSIS

This is computed showing
a "long" purchase.
This is computed showing a "short" sale.

TARGET PRICE
 (see chart shown at right)

83.00

63.00

ENTRY PRICE

70.00

70.00

SELL STOP, if long,
placed
below your entry px 

68.00

NA

 BUY STOP, if short,
placed
above your short entry px.

NA

72.00

RISK
(entry price minus stop price)

    2.00

2.00

POTENTIAL REWARD
(target price minus entry price)

   13.00

8.00

NECESSARY REWARD
(risk
X the risk multiplier**)

 4.00

4.00

POTENTIAL Risk to Reward Ratio
(potential reward divided by risk)

6.5

4.0

ACCEPTABLE RATIO? SHOULD BE 2 OR BETTER

**Risk Multiplier may be changed to meet your trading style, recommend using at least "2" .

2.00

Should you really do this trade?  What would you risk?

risk reward stock trade




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 Money Management:

   Rule number one, don't lose money.  
   Rule number two, don't forget rule number one.  
   However, losses are inevitable...keep them small, use stop-loss orders.  

 Position sizing:   see examples below

As a general rule you don't want to be risking more then 2 - 3% a trade and 5% max and you want to have the ability to have multiple trades on at once. What that means is that if you have a $50,000 account risking 2% a trade then the most you can risk per trade is $1000. You want the ability to be in more then one trade & you need to pick a good number of potential trades to be in. In the example we have $50,000 so let’s break it into 6 sections. 50K divided by 6 is $8,333.

Now that we have our max risk and our total dollar amount per trade we need to go find a trade. In this example we have a stock trading at $20 with an objective at $26 and a stop at $18 giving us a 3 to 1 risk reward ratio. So now we take our dollar amount per trade (8,333) divided by the price of the stock. This equals 416 so we round down to 400 shares. Now take the distance from entry to stop ($2.00) and multiply it by 400 now we get $800.00. That is our risk in this trade so we are risking less then 1.6% of the account which is even less then the 2% we are willing to risk.

Using position sizing enables us to manage risk. By dividing our account up into multiple trades no one stock can kill us in the chance that a surprise event happens such as earnings preannouncement or geo-political event. And then by only risking a certain percentage we cut risk even more.

see examples below

EFFECTIVE TRADE MANAGEMENT

 Money Management: Just a little important, don't you think!!

   Rule number one, don't lose money.  
   Rule number two, don't forget rule number one.  
   However, losses are inevitable...keep them small, use stop-loss orders.  

 Position sizing:  

As a general rule you don't want to be risking more then 2% a trade and 5% max and you want to have the ability to have multiple trades on at once. What that means is that if you have a $50,000 account risking 2% a trade then the most you can risk per trade is $1000. You want the ability to be in more then one trade & you need to pick a good number of potential trades to be in. In the example we have $50,000 so let’s break it into 6 sections. 50K divided by 6 is $8,333.

Now that we have our max risk and our total dollar amount per trade we need to go find a trade. In this example we have a stock trading at $20 with an objective at $26 and a stop at $18 giving us a 3 to 1 risk reward ratio. So now we take our dollar amount per trade (8,333) divided by the price of the stock. This equals 416 so we round down to 400 shares. Now take the distance from entry to stop ($2.00) and multiply it by 400 now we get $800.00. That is our risk in this trade so we are risking less then 1.6% of the account which is even less then the 2% we are willing to risk.

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Keep this in mind- it’s your money.
 
This is a guideline to start a disciplined approach with, so let’s plug in some numbers:

Account Size:  $10,000

$25,000

$50,000

Per trade risk
amount::                      3%

Per trade risk
amount::             3%

Per trade risk
amount::               3%

3% of $10,000     =    300.00
This is your per trade risk.

3% of $25,000     =    750.00
This is your per trade risk.

3% of $50,000     =   1500.00
This is your per trade risk.

No more than 20% of account in any one trade = $2,000

No more than 20% of account in any one trade = $5,000

No more than 20% of account in any one trade = $10,000

Divide the $2,000 by the stock price, say $23.50 per share; this equals the # of shares you would get and round that number up or down.  In this case, it equals 85 shares rounded up to 100 shares.

Divide the $5,000 by the stock price, say $23.50 per share; this equals the # of shares you would get and round that number up or down.  In this case, it equals 212 shares rounded down to 200 shares

Divide the $10,000 by the stock price, say $23.50 per share; this equals the # of shares you would get and round that number up or down.  In this case, it equals 425 shares rounded down to 400 shares

Calculate the difference between your entry price, $23.50 to your stop loss price,

say $22.00, which is $1.50.  That $1.50 times the # shares you have, 100, equals $150.

 

$150 is your risk in the trade.

Calculate the difference between your entry price, $23.50 to your stop loss price,

say $22.00, which is $1.50.  That $1.50 times the # shares you have, 200, equals $300.

 

$300 is your risk in the trade.

Calculate the difference between your entry price, $23.50 to your stop loss price,

say $22.00, which is $1.50.  That $1.50 times the # shares you have, 400, equals $600.

 

$600 is your risk in the trade.

$150 is 1.5% of the account and less than the 3% we were willing to risk.

$300 is 1.2% of the account and less than the 3% we were willing to risk.

$600 is 1.2% of the account and less than the 3% we were willing to risk.

For options, you have different methods to choose from, remember it’s a choice, your money, your choice:

I  can put in the same $2,000, $5,000 or $10,000 in an option trade and calculate my risk amount by the above calculations where the $150, $300 or $600 will be the amount I might pay for an option contract on that stock until
it totals my 3%. 

However, here is where you have to think this through... If I was buying the stock AND I was willing to risk $150, $300 or $600 as a loss, wouldn’t this allow me to give my option lots of leeway?  I don’t have to be overly concerned if I follow this one rule:  if I wouldn’t sell the stock based on the chart action, then I’m not going to get out of my option position even if it’s down 40% in value.  40% of $150, $300, or $600 is $60, $120, and $240 respectively.

Alternatively, I can and probably should, consider not 20% of the account value in any one option trade, but only the amount that I was willing to risk HAD I BOUGHT THE STOCK.  In this example, my total option trade would be $150, $300, or $600.  Or any number in between where you can sleep at night if it gapped up/down against you in a big way.

The above are not rules set in stone except for the "per trade risk amount".  The rules are a starting point for a disciplined approach to trading.  If you start playing with options like a gunslinger, you’ll blow up your account.

     Using position sizing enables us to manage risk. By dividing our account up into multiple trades no one stock can kill us in the chance that a surprise event happens such as earnings preannouncement or geo-political event. And then by only risking a certain percentage we cut risk even more.

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