The
Setup
The "Science" Part of Trading
The patterns
work through all time
charts. Use at least 3 time charts to verify.
Note: this is not a complete list.
|
Some
Suggested Trading Rules
The "Art" Part of Trading
(In mentioning 'short' I
also mean buying a put option.)
Use Investopedia.com
for all underlined words shown below. |
General
Comments
In no
particular order and not aligned
with any particular setup. |
|
Price
hitting a support or resistance level.
The more times a price is hit and bounces off, the more support there
is at that price level to buy or short. |
Depending
on the daily or weekly primary trend consider placing a trade
at just above the support level or a short sale at
just below the resistance level with tight stops. |
- The
stronger the primary trend the more confidence you should have.
- Watch for
big changes in volume as price approaches targets. Wait for the
bounce to show itself if not confident
- Increased volume should
accompany any breakout.
- All stop-losses should
be set to allow a 2 to 3% loss and no more.
- Smart money tends to put on
trades when markets are quiet; amateurs tend to jump on the news.
- Buy the rumor, sell on the
news.
- Use 1, 5, 15 minute charts to
read gaps.
- Generally, you may use 1, 5 or
15 minute charts for an entry/exit point and the hourly and
daily chart for swing trades. Play around with various charts
but always use more than one time
period using the support-resistance levels of one to tell you where
your limits are in the other.
- Remember that buyers wait for
pullbacks and sellers wait for resistance
- Hammer
and dark cloud
cover candle patterns are powerful reversal signals.
- Gap downs after strong rallies
signal a trend change.
- Breakouts
through triple tops signal major uptrends.
- Above every resistance level and below every
support level lie plenty of orders to buy or sell once price breaks
one way or the other. This is what accounts for major volume
increases on a breakout or breakdown.
- Big volume spikes
start and end a rally regardless of time frame.
- Indicators
indicate what is going on with price, they do NOT dictate what you
should do.
- Indicators
are either momentum
type, showing you strength of the trend, or overbought and oversold
type, showing you weakness at support/resistance.
|
|
Price
hitting a support or resistance level within a
channel.
A channel could be ascending,
descending or horizontal. |
Buy the pullbacks
at support or short the rally into resistance. Trade in
the direction of the primary trend. |
|
Ascending
Triangle |
The more mature
in time the pattern is the stronger it is. Trade the primary
trend. Set buy limit just
above the highs of horizontal resistance. Increased
volume must accompany the breakout. |
|
Descending
Triangle |
The more mature
in time the pattern is the stronger it is. Trade the primary
trend. Set buy limit just below the lows of horizontal
support. Increased volume must accompany the breakout. |
|
Symmetrical
Triangle |
These can
break either way but stick with the primary trend.
Set buy limit just
above the high of descending trendline resistance.
Increased volume must accompany the breakout. |
|
Double
or Triple Top |
Look for divergences
in the indicators. |
|
Double
or Triple Bottom |
Look for divergences
in the indicators. |
|
Head
and Shoulders Top |
If long,
sell when right shoulder has low volume and heading for the neckline,
if it breaks any long uptrend and/or a divergence
between indicators and prices. New short
position can be established, with a stop at the top of the
"head". This is also good point for a stop-and-reverse
order (if stopped out of the short, reverse and go long) |
|
Inverted
Head and Shoulders |
If short,
cover the position. Or go long when the right
shoulder has increasing volume, if it breaks any long downtrend
and or a divergence between indicators and
prices. |
|
Breaking
a Trendline
Remember
that trendlines are not a rigid area, they are elastic and a
major reversal will have other supporting indicators to rely
on. |
May signal
a reversal. Best to wait for the reversal to
establish. Trendline breaks are not the strongest of setups.
Wait to see if market will push back and fail, the failure to rally
upon the second or even third attempt is a stronger signal.
Use tight stops. The angle of the trendline
suggests its strength and steep angles are hard to trade against. |
|
Gap
Up
Different types: Breakaway, Exhaustion, Continuation. |
Discipline
yourself to trade gaps after 10:30 a.m. EST. See stockcharts.com
on gaps. |
|
Gap
Down
Breakaway,
Continuation |
Discipline
yourself to trade gaps after 10:30 a.m. EST. See stockcharts.com
on gaps. |
|
Flag
Reversals Bullish
A
downward sloping rectangle |
Downsloping
flag in an uptrend, place a buy order above the
latest peak of the flag. |
|
Flag
Reversals Bearish
An
upward sloping rectangle. |
A rising flag
in an uptrend marks distribution so a downside breakout
is more likely. Place an order to sell short below the
latest low of that flag. |
|
Rectangles |
Rectangles
are consolidation. Use stochastic, RSI
or Williams for price reversals within rectangles . Buy
at the lower boundary and sell short at the upper boundary. Stops
should be placed near the upper or lower wall depending on position
taken. Use the weekly trend and trade that direction. Or
set buy stops or sell short stops just a few ticks above or below the rectangle high
or low to capture a breakout. |
|
Moving
Average Crossovers Up |
Upward
sloping and crossing MAs can signal buy signals for many
traders. Follow the MACD for early insight. Look
for additional support from other indicators. Watch for divergences. |
|
Moving Average Crossovers Down |
Downward
sloping and crossing MAs can signal sell signals for many
traders. Follow the MACD for early insight. Look
for additional support from other indicators. Watch for divergences. |